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  • 30 בJune 2025 20:04
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BUZZA NEWS AND INFORMATION PORTAL

Political Turmoil: Is Naftali Bennett Poised to Seize the Initiative Amidst Shifting Alliances?

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Can Bennett Seize the Opportunity? Political Landscape Analysis

Current Political Climate

In the midst of ongoing political turmoil surrounding the conscription law, the potential for early elections, and the persistent conflict in Gaza, the Israeli political map shows little transformation. According to a recent poll conducted by Maariv, the coalition currently comprises 49 mandates, while the opposition commands 61, alongside 10 mandates for Arab parties. The survey, executed by Lazar Research under Dr. Menachem Lazar in collaboration with Panel4All, reflects the current sentiment among the electorate.

Key Poll Findings

Potential Shifts with Bennett’s Leadership

The poll indicated that should Naftali Bennett enter the fray, his coalition could claim 65 mandates, contrasting sharply with Netanyahu’s coalition, which stands at 45 mandates, plus 10 for Arab parties. The question of voter preferences for a fresh election scenario shows the following distribution of votes:

  • Likud: 22 mandates
  • Yisrael Beiteinu: 19 mandates
  • The National Camp: 15 mandates
  • The Democrats: 15 mandates
  • Yesh Atid: 12 mandates
  • Shas: 10 mandates
  • Religious Zionism: 9 mandates
  • United Torah Judaism: 8 mandates
  • Ra’am: 6 mandates
  • Hadash-Ta’al: 4 mandates

Importantly, the Religious Zionism party (2.8%) and Balad (1.9%) fell short of crossing the electoral threshold once again.

Hypothetical Scenario: Bennett at the Helm

If a new party led by Naftali Bennett were to emerge-while all other parties remain unchanged-voter preferences would shift as follows:

  • Bennett: 27 mandates
  • Likud: 20 mandates
  • The Democrats: 11 mandates
  • Yisrael Beiteinu: 10 mandates
  • Yesh Atid: 9 mandates
  • Shas: 9 mandates
  • The National Camp: 8 mandates
  • Religious Zionism: 8 mandates
  • United Torah Judaism: 8 mandates
  • Ra’am: 6 mandates
  • Hadash-Ta’al: 4 mandates

Balad (1.7%) and Religious Zionism (2.6%) again failed to surpass the electoral threshold.

Public Sentiment on Military Action in Iran

The survey also revealed that a majority of the public (55%) supports a potential Israeli strike on Iran. Among these, 34% advocate for immediate action without U.S. approval, while 21% insist that strikes should only occur with American consent. Conversely, 24% prefer to wait for the outcomes of negotiations between Iran and the United States, and 7% believe it is too late for an effective strike, with 14% remaining uncertain.

Leadership Perception

Despite the current political landscape, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu maintains a lead over opposition leaders regarding public preference for prime ministerial suitability, with margins ranging from 17% against Yair Lapid to 10% against Benny Gantz. Interestingly, only Naftali Bennett is perceived by the public as a more suitable candidate for the position than Netanyahu, with 46% favoring Bennett compared to 39% for Netanyahu.

The polling, conducted between June 4-5, 2025, captured responses from 506 participants, representing a cross-section of the adult population in Israel aged 18 and above, both Jewish and Arab. The maximum margin of error is 4.4%.

This analysis provides valuable insights into the shifting dynamics of Israeli politics and the public’s evolving preferences as they stand at a pivotal moment in potential electoral changes

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