Israel and the U.S. Allow Iran to Set the Pace in Ongoing Conflict

Strategic Goals of Israel Amidst Ongoing Military Operations

In a context of rising tensions, Israel seeks a swift resolution to its military campaign without reopening negotiations with Iran regarding a new nuclear deal. Israeli officials emphasize that their preferred scenario is to conclude hostilities within a matter of days after achieving operational objectives, while ensuring that the United States does not return to diplomatic talks with Tehran.

After recent American strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities, Israeli assessments suggest that Iran is unlikely to escalate tensions with the U.S. Instead, it may strategically target American bases, choosing locations that have been previously evacuated to avoid direct confrontation.

Avoidance of Direct Conflict with the U.S.

An Israeli official noted that “Tehran sees no benefit in initiating a direct war with Washington.” Therefore, an ideal target for Iran would be a vacant American base-an action perceived as a retaliation without crossing crucial red lines.

Despite Israel’s desire for a quick resolution, officials assert that the pace of developments will depend heavily on Iranian actions. “The operation will continue as long as Iran opts to keep attacking,” said a source familiar with the situation.

Ongoing Israeli Military Operations

Israeli intentions reportedly include continuing military strikes within Iran. The Israeli government is closely monitoring the involvement of Iran’s regional proxies, including pro-Iranian militias in Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen, to assess the potential for a deeper involvement in the conflict.

Strategic Diplomatic Considerations

At the forefront of Israel’s strategic considerations is the objective of preventing a return to diplomatic pathways that may result in a new nuclear agreement between Iran and the U.S. Israeli officials indicate that the optimal resolution for them would be a U.S. declaration of a ceasefire-without negotiations or a new agreement.

“This would provide the best exit strategy for Israel,” they assert. “It would leave Iran without significant nuclear infrastructure while also eliminating any opening for renewed discussions.”

This ongoing situation underscores the intricate dynamics of regional security and international diplomacy as it relates to Iran’s military ambitions and the responses from both Israel and the U.S