New Polls Reveal Political Shift Ahead of Upcoming Elections
Key Insights from Recent Surveys
Recent polls published on Wednesday evening by Channel 12 and Network 13 indicate a significant shift in voter preferences ahead of the upcoming elections. In scenarios where Naftali Bennett runs, opposition parties are poised to secure approximately 70 mandates. However, the standing of each individual party appears precarious, particularly as Bennett rises on the right, alongside Yair Golan’s ascent on the left.
Detailed Poll Findings
Channel 12 Survey Results
According to the Channel 12 survey, Bennett’s party emerges as the largest, garnering 24 seats. This is followed by Likud with 22 seats and Golan’s Democrats securing 12 mandates. Other noteworthy parties include Shas and Yisrael Beiteinu, both projected to gain 10 seats, while Yesh Atid is projected to win 9 seats. The ultra-Orthodox parties, Yahadut HaTorah led by Yitzhak Goldknopf and Otzma Yehudit guided by Itamar Ben Gvir, are forecasted to each receive 8 mandates. Benny Gantz’s National Camp is projected to secure 7 mandates, while Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am are both expected to achieve 5 mandates each.
Notably, parties like the Religious Zionist Party, led by Bezalel Smotrich, and Balad fall below the electoral threshold, with 2.8% and 1.2% of the vote, respectively.
Network 13 Poll Insights
A similar trend was observed in the Network 13 survey, where Bennett is estimated to gain 27 mandates. Likud follows closely with 24 mandates, and Golan’s Democrats again secure 10 mandates. Shas is also projected to receive 10 seats, while Gantz’s National Camp and Yisrael Beiteinu are both expected to achieve 9 mandates. Yesh Atid and Otzma Yehudit are forecasted to secure 8 mandates each, while Yahadut HaTorah would receive 7. Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am are each anticipated to gain 4 mandates.
As with the Channel 12 poll, Balad and the Religious Zionist Party are both seen as not crossing the electoral threshold, with votes at 2.6% and 2.4%, respectively.
Implications of the Findings
These polls signal a notable decline in the current coalition’s popularity amid threats from Haredi parties to dissolve the government. The data suggest a possible voter fatigue with familiar opposition figures. The shifts may lead to significant changes within the Knesset, reflecting evolving political dynamics as the nation approaches elections.
As the situation develops, these trends will require close monitoring, especially as potential candidates finalize their strategies. The current political landscape indicates potential upheaval and a desire for change among the Israeli electorate