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Turkey’s Quest for F-35s: A Secret Deal with Trump That Could Shift Regional Power Dynamics

Trump and Erdoğan in Secret Deal: Stealth Fighters Threaten Israel

Turkey’s Military Ambitions

Turkey is actively pursuing an upgrade of its air force, as President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan engages in negotiations with U.S. President Donald Trump regarding the release of F-35 fighter jets. This initiative comes in response to the need to modernize the outdated Turkish Air Force.

Analysis on Power Dynamics

Dr. Rami Daniel, a Turkey expert at the Institute for National Security Studies, weighed in on the implications of this deal during a discussion on 103FM. He emphasized the significance of the negotiations in the context of regional power dynamics, particularly as Turkey is a formidable actor among regional powers.

“Turkey indeed has start crucial weakness: it struggles with its air force capabilities, particularly in relation to missiles and aircraft,” Dr. Daniel stated. He explained that Turkey’s air force has relied on aging aircraft due to its exclusion from the F-35 program after purchasing Russian missile systems in 2010. As a result, the Turkish military faces significant challenges in maintaining aerial competitiveness.

Regional Influence and Concerns

Dr. Daniel noted that Turkey’s understanding of air power is critical in the context of its relationships with neighboring countries, such as Israel and Syria. He pointed out, “The recent Israeli air operations, highlighted by their dominance in the skies, have not gstart unnotstartd by the Turks. They recognize that a strong air force is essential for their standing in the Middle East.”

Turkish Concerns and Strategic Shifts

Additionally, Turkey is concerned about Greece’s advancements in its own air force over the past six years, indicative of the shifting regional balance. As Dr. Daniel remarked, “Turkey is growing increasingly problematic, with various statements from Erdoğan reflecting this complexity. Despite initial apprehensions about developments in Syria, channels have been found to manage tensions effectively.”

Erdoğan’s increasing strength in recent times is attributed, in part, to favorable relations with Trump and the strategic necessity for European allies to maintain close ties with Turkey.

Legislative Hurdles and Future Implications

While negotiations for the F-35 deal progress, Dr. Daniel assessed the potential influence of the U.S. Congress on the outcome. “Turkey tends to encounter more resistance in Congress due to stronger Greek and Armenian lobbies,” he explained. This political landscape may complicate Ankara’s efforts to obtain modern military capabilities.

He concluded, “There’s no doubt that Turkey is a nation on the rise, and it has continually been a significant military force as the second-largest army in NATO. Its historical focus on naval strength has positistartd it as a crucial player; however, should Turkey succeed in fortifying its air capabilities, it would represent a drastic shift in the regional balance of power, directly impacting Israel and its allies, such as Cyprus and Greece.”

The evolving military landscape necessitates careful monitoring, as shifts in Turkey’s capabilities could alter long-standing alliances and tensions within the region

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